Cross-platform candidates

Title-overlap candidates across Polymarket and Kalshi. Similar wording is not proof that two contracts settle on the same outcome.

Displayed prices below are indicative mid/last prices. Use “Check rules + $100 fills” to walk both live order books, estimate taker fees, and expose resolution differences. A venue is ranked only for an explicitly reviewed equivalent pair.

Executable Outcome Router

The same reviewed outcome, routed by live depth and fees

Displayed odds are not enough. Compare what a $100 all-in order can actually buy on Polymarket and Kalshi.

Jon Stewart Wes Moore J.B. Pritzker Lando Norris Charles Leclerc

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Candidate overlaps

65 title candidates

Market	P Polymarket	K Kalshi	Spread	Displayed lower
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Aw... Title score: 74% Check rules + $100 fills	1.1% / 98.9% Trade	96.5% / 3.5% Trade	95.3pp	P lower display
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential ... Title score: 65% Check rules + $100 fills	1.6% / 98.5% Trade	92.5% / 7.5% Trade	90.9pp	P lower display
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin... Title score: 91% Check rules + $100 fills	2.9% / 97.0% Trade	83.0% / 17.0% Trade	80.0pp	P lower display
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati... Title score: 93% Check rules + $100 fills	1.8% / 98.2% Trade	77.5% / 22.5% Trade	75.8pp	P lower display
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Title score: 78% Check rules + $100 fills	6.5% / 93.5% Trade	78.5% / 21.5% Trade	72.0pp	P lower display
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin... Title score: 91% Check rules + $100 fills	5.1% / 94.8% Trade	76.5% / 23.5% Trade	71.4pp	P lower display
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Sept... Title score: 72% Check rules + $100 fills	66.5% / 33.5% Trade	1.5% / 98.5% Trade	65.0pp	K lower display
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati... Title score: 93% Check rules + $100 fills	1.5% / 98.6% Trade	65.5% / 34.5% Trade	64.1pp	P lower display
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Title score: 65% Check rules + $100 fills	15.5% / 84.5% Trade	75.0% / 25.0% Trade	59.5pp	P lower display
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin... Title score: 91% Check rules + $100 fills	24.4% / 75.5% Trade	84.0% / 16.0% Trade	59.5pp	P lower display
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals Title score: 71% Check rules + $100 fills	93.8% / 6.2% Trade	41.0% / 59.0% Trade	52.8pp	K lower display
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Alina Char... Title score: 64% Check rules + $100 fills	72.5% / 27.5% Trade	25.5% / 74.5% Trade	47.0pp	K lower display
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presid... Title score: 91% Check rules + $100 fills	21.0% / 79.0% Trade	65.5% / 34.5% Trade	44.5pp	P lower display
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels Title score: 78% Check rules + $100 fills	96.8% / 3.2% Trade	55.5% / 44.5% Trade	41.3pp	K lower display
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5 Title score: 73% Check rules + $100 fills	43.5% / 56.5% Trade	3.5% / 96.5% Trade	40.0pp	K lower display
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep... Title score: 73% Check rules + $100 fills	32.5% / 67.5% Trade	1.0% / 99.0% Trade	31.5pp	K lower display
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox Title score: 64% Check rules + $100 fills	26.5% / 73.5% Trade	57.5% / 42.5% Trade	31.0pp	P lower display
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Roc... Title score: 62% Check rules + $100 fills	35.5% / 64.5% Trade	64.5% / 35.5% Trade	29.0pp	P lower display
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Title score: 78% Check rules + $100 fills	48.5% / 51.5% Trade	20.5% / 79.5% Trade	28.0pp	K lower display
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Title score: 74% Check rules + $100 fills	2.5% / 97.5% Trade	29.5% / 70.5% Trade	27.0pp	P lower display
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Title score: 63% Check rules + $100 fills	14.5% / 85.5% Trade	40.5% / 59.5% Trade	26.0pp	P lower display
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Title score: 64% Check rules + $100 fills	88.5% / 11.5% Trade	65.5% / 34.5% Trade	23.0pp	K lower display
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential n... Title score: 90% Check rules + $100 fills	1.7% / 98.4% Trade	24.5% / 75.5% Trade	22.8pp	P lower display
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin B... Title score: 63% Check rules + $100 fills	81.5% / 18.5% Trade	61.0% / 39.0% Trade	20.5pp	K lower display
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in ... Title score: 77% Check rules + $100 fills	74.9% / 25.1% Trade	94.8% / 5.1% Trade	20.0pp	P lower display
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League ... Title score: 74% Check rules + $100 fills	28.5% / 71.5% Trade	15.0% / 85.0% Trade	13.5pp	K lower display
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina... Title score: 92% Check rules + $100 fills	2.5% / 97.5% Trade	16.0% / 84.0% Trade	13.5pp	P lower display
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals Title score: 71% Check rules + $100 fills	46.5% / 53.5% Trade	59.5% / 40.5% Trade	13.0pp	P lower display
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton Title score: 64% Check rules + $100 fills	34.5% / 65.5% Trade	47.0% / 53.0% Trade	12.5pp	P lower display
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Title score: 100% Check rules + $100 fills	15.0% / 85.0% Trade	27.2% / 72.9% Trade	12.2pp	P lower display
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league champi... Title score: 80% Check rules + $100 fills	3.9% / 96.1% Trade	15.5% / 84.5% Trade	11.6pp	P lower display
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nadia Podoroska vs Ella Seid... Title score: 63% Check rules + $100 fills	61.0% / 39.0% Trade	53.0% / 47.0% Trade	8.0pp	K lower display
National Bank Open: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina Title score: 64% Check rules + $100 fills	54.5% / 45.5% Trade	48.0% / 52.0% Trade	6.5pp	K lower display
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep... Title score: 76% Check rules + $100 fills	1.1% / 99.0% Trade	6.3% / 93.7% Trade	5.3pp	P lower display
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mark Lajal vs Dalibor Svrcin... Title score: 62% Check rules + $100 fills	47.5% / 52.5% Trade	52.5% / 47.5% Trade	5.0pp	P lower display
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Title score: 75% Check rules + $100 fills	38.5% / 61.5% Trade	34.5% / 65.5% Trade	4.0pp	Kalshi
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Champio... Title score: 75% Check rules + $100 fills	5.1% / 95.0% Trade	2.0% / 98.0% Trade	3.1pp	Kalshi
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Title score: 83% Check rules + $100 fills	6.5% / 93.5% Trade	3.5% / 96.5% Trade	3.0pp	Kalshi
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? Title score: 65% Check rules + $100 fills	3.9% / 96.2% Trade	1.0% / 99.0% Trade	2.8pp	Kalshi
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 20... Title score: 77% Check rules + $100 fills	6.2% / 93.8% Trade	3.5% / 96.5% Trade	2.8pp	Kalshi
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United K... Title score: 100% Check rules + $100 fills	97.2% / 2.8% Trade	100.0% / 0.1% Trade	2.7pp	Poly
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Title score: 76% Check rules + $100 fills	20.5% / 79.5% Trade	22.5% / 77.5% Trade	2.0pp	Poly
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Title score: 97% Check rules + $100 fills	4.5% / 95.5% Trade	6.2% / 93.8% Trade	1.8pp	~same
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Title score: 93% Check rules + $100 fills	3.3% / 96.7% Trade	1.5% / 98.5% Trade	1.8pp	~same
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential electi... Title score: 100% Check rules + $100 fills	6.5% / 93.5% Trade	5.3% / 94.7% Trade	1.2pp	~same
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presi... Title score: 68% Check rules + $100 fills	1.2% / 98.8% Trade	0.1% / 99.9% Trade	1.1pp	~same
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Title score: 73% Check rules + $100 fills	2.6% / 97.4% Trade	1.5% / 98.5% Trade	1.1pp	~same
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Title score: 64% Check rules + $100 fills	5.5% / 94.5% Trade	4.5% / 95.5% Trade	1.0pp	~same
Fed rate hike in 2026? Title score: 83% Check rules + $100 fills	54.5% / 45.5% Trade	55.5% / 44.5% Trade	1.0pp	~same
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Title score: 74% Check rules + $100 fills	31.5% / 68.5% Trade	32.5% / 67.5% Trade	1.0pp	~same
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship... Title score: 73% Check rules + $100 fills	3.5% / 96.5% Trade	4.5% / 95.5% Trade	1.0pp	~same
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Title score: 68% Check rules + $100 fills	1.6% / 98.4% Trade	2.5% / 97.5% Trade	0.9pp	~same
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Title score: 93% · rules verified Check rules + $100 fills	11.7% / 88.3% Trade	12.5% / 87.5% Trade	0.8pp	~same
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Title score: 72% Check rules + $100 fills	4.3% / 95.7% Trade	3.5% / 96.5% Trade	0.8pp	~same
Will the Boston Red Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 M... Title score: 67% Check rules + $100 fills	1.7% / 98.4% Trade	1.0% / 99.0% Trade	0.7pp	~same
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Title score: 99% Check rules + $100 fills	1.1% / 98.9% Trade	0.5% / 99.5% Trade	0.6pp	~same
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Go... Title score: 100% Check rules + $100 fills	2.2% / 97.8% Trade	1.7% / 98.4% Trade	0.6pp	~same
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Champions... Title score: 94% Check rules + $100 fills	4.7% / 95.3% Trade	4.0% / 96.0% Trade	0.6pp	~same
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Title score: 70% Check rules + $100 fills	49.5% / 50.5% Trade	49.0% / 51.0% Trade	0.5pp	~same
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Title score: 65% Check rules + $100 fills	1.9% / 98.0% Trade	1.5% / 98.5% Trade	0.5pp	~same
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Title score: 65% Check rules + $100 fills	2.9% / 97.0% Trade	2.5% / 97.5% Trade	0.4pp	~same
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Title score: 93% · rules verified Check rules + $100 fills	2.9% / 97.0% Trade	2.5% / 97.5% Trade	0.4pp	~same
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 NL Central title? Title score: 80% Check rules + $100 fills	1.1% / 98.9% Trade	1.0% / 99.0% Trade	0.1pp	~same
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Title score: 64% Check rules + $100 fills	3.5% / 96.5% Trade	3.5% / 96.5% Trade	0.1pp	~same
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league champion... Title score: 83% Check rules + $100 fills	1.1% / 99.0% Trade	1.0% / 99.0% Trade	0.1pp	~same

How to read this

Underlined = lower displayed probability, not a verified executable price

Spread = difference between displayed probabilities, not a fillable quote

5pp+ = disagreement worth investigating

~same = prices are aligned (<2pp difference)

Cross-platform candidates

The same reviewed outcome, routed by live depth and fees

Candidate overlaps

How to read this

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