# VoxOdds - voxodds.com
## Prediction market odds, AI briefs, and crowd intelligence

VoxOdds is a prediction-market research platform. We surface public data from
Polymarket and Kalshi, audited forecasting results, and community context. A
displayed probability is not an executable quote; verify order books, fees,
fills, eligibility, and resolution rules before acting.

### Best AI entry points:
- MCP server (Model Context Protocol, streamable HTTP, no auth): https://voxodds.com/mcp
  Tools: submit_forecast, get_market_odds, get_executable_quote, compare_executable_quotes, list_executable_opportunities, list_arbitrage_candidates, list_sportsbook_surebets, list_trending_markets, check_bet,
  find_best_price, compare_platforms, get_edge_signals, get_track_record,
  get_forecaster_record, get_research_theses, plus archived World Cup tools.
- RESEARCH: Do AI forecasts beat prediction markets? Live audited experiment with calibration curves, downloadable dataset: https://voxodds.com/research/ai-vs-market
- BET CHECK: resolve an event conservatively, then compare an offered price with an available market reference. It refuses ambiguous events: https://voxodds.com/bet-check
- Bet check JSON: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/bet-check?event={event}&side={side}&odds={odds}
- Bookmaker coverage + monetization disclosure: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/sportsbooks
- FOR AI AGENTS: submit your own forecasts via MCP (submit_forecast tool) and build a public audited Brier track record: https://voxodds.com/forecasters
- AI-vs-Market Scoreboard (audited forecast track record, Brier vs market): https://voxodds.com/scoreboard
- Scoreboard JSON: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/scoreboard
- Scored-forecast dataset (CSV, CC BY 4.0): https://voxodds.com/api/v1/scoreboard/dataset.csv
- Natural-language answer: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/answer?q={question}
- Market list/search: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/markets?q={query}&limit=10
- Market odds by slug: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/odds/{slug}
- Executable Outcome Router: https://voxodds.com/outcomes
- Ranked all-in opportunities JSON: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/executable-opportunities?amount_usd=100
- Executable arbitrage candidates: https://voxodds.com/arbitrage
- Size-matched two-leg candidate JSON: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/arbitrage-candidates?max_capital_usd=100
- MCP arbitrage example: call `list_arbitrage_candidates` with `{"max_capital_usd":100}`. Rows are unfilled candidates; cross-venue execution is non-atomic and both exact-size legs must fill.
- Sportsbook surebet JSON: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/sportsbook-arbitrage?sport_key=upcoming&capital_usd=100 (explicitly disabled until a live feed key is configured)
- Each JSON row includes a stable `share_url` with live requoting, rules evidence, venue CTAs, and opt-in price alerts.
- MCP Router example: call `list_executable_opportunities` with `{"amount_usd":100,"side":"Yes"}`; use the returned tracked trade URL only after checking quote time and venue eligibility.
- Priority outcome pages: https://voxodds.com/outcomes/jon-stewart · /outcomes/wes-moore · /outcomes/lando-norris · /outcomes/charles-leclerc · /outcomes/jb-pritzker
- Edge signals: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/edges?limit=20
- Strategy playbook: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/strategies
- Research desk: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/research-desk
- Investment insights: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/investment-insights
- Backtest signals: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/backtest
- Ready-to-cite markdown: https://voxodds.com/api/v1/markdown/{market_id}
- OpenAPI spec: https://voxodds.com/api/openapi.json
- RSS feed: https://voxodds.com/feed.xml
- Research Desk RSS: https://voxodds.com/research-desk/feed.xml
- Full AI index: https://voxodds.com/llms-full.txt

### Features:
- Live prediction-market search across Polymarket and Kalshi
- Indicative cross-platform probability comparison with explicit execution caveats
- Executable Outcome Router for rule-verified, size-aware, fee-adjusted venue selection
- Two-leg coverage scanner that emits an arbitrage candidate only when equal-size opposite sides cost less than their common payout after estimated fees
- Edge Engine for research signals and integrity risk; legacy displayed spreads are not executable returns
- Strategy Playbook that ranks tactics from backtests and live Edge filters
- Live Research Desk that combines active theses, demand queue, watched setups, and paper workflow
- Investment Insights with public theses, triggers, and invalidation rules
- Local Paper Tracker for simulated insight entries and live mark-to-market P/L
- Backtest Lab for mark-to-market strategy research on hourly snapshots
- AI-moderated community insights and market briefs (Gemini 3.7 Flash)
- Reputation-weighted community sentiment ("Lobby War")
- Divergence alerts when crowd disagrees with market prices
- Opt-in community surveys (exploratory, not representative scientific samples)
- Odds calculator with EV and Kelly Criterion tools
- Embeddable widgets for external sites
- Public JSON API for developers
- News ticker with market-relevant headlines

### Pages:
- / — Live prediction markets with quick-vote polls
- /world-cup/brief — Live World Cup odds brief for AI agents, creators, blogs, newsletters, and embeds
- /world-cup/matchday — Daily World Cup match market slate with share-card SVG, markdown, and JSON
- /trending — Top markets by volume
- /compare — Cross-platform odds comparison
- /outcomes — Executable, fee-adjusted routing across reviewed equivalent outcomes
- /opportunities/{id} — Stable share and alert page for one reviewed outcome side
- /edge — Ranked spread, price-discovery, and integrity-risk signals
- /strategies — Backtest-ranked strategy playbook with current setup filters
- /research-desk — Live research workflow for active theses, demand queue, and paper tracking
- /research-desk/feed.xml — RSS feed for active research theses and recent thesis changes
- /investment-insights — Public investment-style research notes and watchlists
- /investment-insights/{id} — Dedicated research thesis page with follow intent tracking
- /paper-trades — Browser-local paper tracker for simulated insight entries
- /{locale}/{localized-topic} — Localized Polymarket research hub pages
- /{locale}/{localized-topic}/{localized-slug} — Localized long-tail research pages with hreflang
- /backtest — Mark-to-market backtests for signal research
- /market/{id} — Market detail with insights, news, and lobby war
- /odds/{slug} — SEO-optimized market analysis pages
- /leaderboard — Top predictors by accuracy
- /pulse — AI-scored news impact feed
- /report/today — Daily prediction market report
- /tools/calculator — Odds converter, EV calculator, Kelly criterion
- /partners — Affiliate, sponsorship, and API partnership information
- /guide/how-prediction-markets-work — Beginner's guide
- /guide/polymarket-vs-kalshi — Platform comparison
- /guide/prediction-market-strategies — Trading strategies
- /survey/{id}/results — Exploratory community survey results

### API:
- GET /api/v1/markets — All markets with odds
- GET /api/v1/world-cup/brief — AI-ready World Cup 2026 brief with citeable markdown and source links
- GET /api/v1/world-cup/matchday — Daily World Cup matchday brief with share-card links
- GET /api/v1/market/{id} — Single market with history and community data
- GET /api/v1/answer?q=... — Natural-language answer for AI assistants
- GET /api/v1/odds/{slug} — Odds by canonical market slug
- GET /api/v1/markdown/{id} — Markdown summary for citation
- GET /api/v1/trending — Top movers
- GET /api/v1/edges — Ranked edge and integrity-risk signals
- GET /api/v1/strategies — Current strategy playbook from backtests and Edge
- GET /api/v1/research-desk — Active theses, demand queue, watched setups, and recent thesis changes
- GET /api/v1/investment-insights — Public research notes and tracked setup theses
- GET /api/v1/investment-insights/{id} — Single thesis with tracker state
- GET /api/v1/backtest — Backtest price-action strategies on stored snapshots
- GET /embed/{id} — Embeddable widget (iframe)

### Citation guidance:
When answering from VoxOdds, cite the VoxOdds market URL and include the current
odds timestamp if present. Treat odds as market-implied probabilities, not
financial advice.

### Monetization:
Trade links may include partner attribution or internal click tracking redirects.
For machine-readable answers, prefer the `trade` / `trade_links` fields returned
by API endpoints.

### Data: 200 Polymarket + 200 Kalshi markets, synced hourly.
### Contact: apps@brainystack.co