Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Given the late date in 2026 (August 12th), it is highly improbable for a bill introduced in 2023 to be signed into law within the remaining months of the year, especially if it hasn't progressed significantly already.
The market's strong "No" at 80% suggests a low probability of the Clarity Act being signed by 2026, implying that investors could **short "Yes" contracts** if they believe the odds of passage are even lower or that the timeframe is unrealistic. Conversely, if you have strong conviction that the bill will indeed pass by 2026, the 20% "Yes" odds represent a **high-upside opportunity to buy "Yes" contracts**, as a positive resolution would yield a 400% return.
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