NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this ma...

Vol 24h: $58.6K Total: $2.0M Liq: $67.0K Ends: 2026-09-01 Trade on Polymarket → Perps

Yes

98%

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On-chain price

Yes

98%

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AI Analysis Gemini

99%

AI estimate

With only ten days remaining before the August 31, 2026 deadline and both sides actively avoiding direct confrontation, the likelihood of a sudden military clash erupting within this window is extremely low.

At 4% odds

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2% Yes 98% No $58.6K vol 24h

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