Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
The market is currently open on July 20, 2026, meaning the outcome for Bitcoin's price on this exact date is already determined and known.
Edge: The market odds of 97% 'Yes' and 3% 'No' for a market on its expiration date suggest a significant mispricing, as the outcome should be 100% 'Yes' or 100% 'No' based on the actual price at this moment.
The market is pricing in an extremely high probability (97%) of Bitcoin being above $64,000 by July 20th, suggesting investors should avoid "Yes" contracts due to minimal upside and significant risk if the 3% "No" scenario materializes. Given the low "No" odds, a small speculative buy on "No" could yield substantial returns if the market is wrong, but this is a high-risk, low-probability bet.
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