Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 1...

Vol 24h: $216.3K Total: $217.2K Liq: $6.9K Ends: 2026-08-12 Trade on Polymarket →
8%
Up
92%
Down
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On-chain price
8%
Up
92%
Down

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92%
AI estimate

As today's date is August 12, 2026, the outcome for 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12' has already been determined.

This market is highly skewed, suggesting a strong consensus for Bitcoin to be down on August 12th. Investors should consider shorting Bitcoin or buying "Down" contracts, as the 92% odds for "Down" indicate a potentially profitable arbitrage opportunity if the market is mispricing the probability.

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