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Politics Prediction Markets
Track election odds in real-time. See who the prediction markets think will win — from US elections to global politics.
50 live markets • Updated hourly from Polymarket & Kalshi
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
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$2.6M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Trump kiss by May 31?
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$2.0M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will Trump dance today?
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$1.5M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
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$1.4M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
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$1.3M vol 24h
12%
Yes
88%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
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$1.3M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
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$1.3M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
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$1.3M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will Trump Leave China after May 18?
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$1.3M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
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$1.2M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$1.1M vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
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$970.0K vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
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$939.5K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$865.9K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$843.3K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$836.4K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
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$828.3K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$777.3K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
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$771.8K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$765.7K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
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$631.3K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
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$609.4K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$569.7K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$552.7K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?
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$551.0K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
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$530.2K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
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$509.0K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
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$494.8K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$476.2K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$467.0K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$465.4K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
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$437.0K vol 24h
3%
Yes
97%
No
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$407.3K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
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