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Politics Prediction Markets
Track election odds in real-time. See who the prediction markets think will win — from US elections to global politics.
50 live markets • Updated hourly from Polymarket & Kalshi
Executable Outcome Router
The same reviewed outcome, routed by live depth and fees
Displayed odds are not enough. Compare what a $100 all-in order can actually buy on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Live $100 comparison
Unfilled quote · payout only if this side settles at $1
Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
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$828.3K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$656.1K vol 24h
2%
Yes
98%
No
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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$428.3K vol 24h
70%
Yes
30%
No
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$410.8K vol 24h
3%
Yes
97%
No
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$301.2K vol 24h
3%
Yes
97%
No
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$213.2K vol 24h
24%
Yes
76%
No
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$190.5K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
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$163.1K vol 24h
97%
Yes
3%
No
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
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$155.1K vol 24h
2%
Yes
98%
No
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
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$151.9K vol 24h
75%
Yes
25%
No
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$151.5K vol 24h
2%
Yes
98%
No
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
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$145.7K vol 24h
97%
Yes
3%
No
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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$131.1K vol 24h
24%
Yes
76%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
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$128.3K vol 24h
6%
Yes
94%
No
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$125.5K vol 24h
3%
Yes
97%
No
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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$123.3K vol 24h
2%
Yes
98%
No
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$110.2K vol 24h
5%
Yes
95%
No
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
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$103.1K vol 24h
84%
Yes
16%
No
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$93.1K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$90.1K vol 24h
2%
Yes
98%
No
Trump out as President before 2027?
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$89.9K vol 24h
6%
Yes
94%
No
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
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$85.7K vol 24h
4%
Yes
96%
No
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
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$80.3K vol 24h
61%
Yes
39%
No
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
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$79.5K vol 24h
12%
Yes
88%
No
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
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$76.0K vol 24h
2%
Yes
98%
No
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
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$70.7K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
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