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Politics Prediction Markets
Track election odds in real-time. See who the prediction markets think will win — from US elections to global politics.
50 live markets • Updated hourly from Polymarket & Kalshi
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
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$2.6M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Trump kiss by May 31?
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$2.0M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will Trump dance today?
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$1.5M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
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$1.5M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
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$1.5M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
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$1.4M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
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$1.3M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
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$1.3M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
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$1.3M vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will Trump Leave China after May 18?
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$1.3M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
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$1.2M vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
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$970.0K vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
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$939.5K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$865.9K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
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$864.4K vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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$836.4K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
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$828.3K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
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$771.8K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
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$631.3K vol 24h
1%
Yes
99%
No
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
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$612.7K vol 24h
12%
Yes
88%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
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$609.4K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?
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$551.0K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
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$530.2K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
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$528.4K vol 24h
100%
Yes
0%
No
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
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$519.1K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
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$509.0K vol 24h
0%
Yes
100%
No
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
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$482.3K vol 24h
88%
Yes
12%
No
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
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$450.4K vol 24h
32%
Yes
68%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
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$437.0K vol 24h
3%
Yes
97%
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
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$425.8K vol 24h
6%
Yes
94%
No
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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$410.8K vol 24h
3%
Yes
97%
No
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