Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe...
Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.
Polymarket Odds
On-chain priceCommunity Lobby
Rep-weightedWhat do you think?
Make your prediction — see how the crowd voted after
Anonymous • One vote per person
With limited legislative days remaining in 2026 and standard end-of-session congestion, the likelihood of standalone regulatory legislation like the Clarity Act passing both chambers and reaching the President's desk remains low.
Given the low 14% implied probability and strong $856k liquidity, the market heavily discounts the Clarity Act passing in a midterm election year, likely due to expected partisan gridlock and packed legislative calendars. **Actionable takeaway:** Look to buy "No" on any temporary sentiment-driven spikes above 18–20% to lock in an asymmetric yield, or sell "Yes" shares immediately if holding, as capital is better deployed elsewhere given the high opportunity cost through 2026.
Related News
Share Your Insight
Set a username in the top nav to start sharing insights.
Community Insights
0 insights • Sorted by quality × reputationNo insights yet
Be the first to share your take on this market.