Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe...
Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.
Polymarket Odds
On-chain priceCommunity Lobby
Rep-weightedWhat do you think?
Make your prediction — see how the crowd voted after
Anonymous • One vote per person
Given the current date of August 5, 2026, and the bill not yet being signed, it is highly improbable for H.R.3633 to be enacted into law within the remaining months of the year.
The low "Yes" probability of 14% suggests a strong market belief that the Clarity Act will not be signed into law by 2026, making a "No" position attractive for investors who agree with the market consensus and seek to profit from its high likelihood. Conversely, a "Yes" position, while having a low probability, could yield significant returns for investors with a contrarian view and strong evidence that the market is mispricing the bill's chances, but this is a high-risk, high-reward bet.
Related News
Share Your Insight
Set a username in the top nav to start sharing insights.
Community Insights
0 insights • Sorted by quality × reputationNo insights yet
Be the first to share your take on this market.