Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe...

Vol 24h: $234.3K Total: $22.0M Liq: $721.7K Ends: 2027-01-01 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
8%
Yes
92%
No
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8%
Yes
92%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
94%
AI estimate

With limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress and substantial partisan or procedural hurdles typical for specialized regulatory reform bills, enactment into law by the end of 2026 remains highly improbable.

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News Impact

AI-analyzed
The CLARITY Act Fails 50 to 49: What's Next for XRP, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana Now That Congress Is Done for the Year? - 24/7 Wall St.

The CLARITY Act failing in Congress with the session concluding for the year makes it virtually impossible for the bill to be signed into law in 2026.

9/10
Senate fails to advance crypto bill, dooming the effort this Congress - The Washington Post

The failure to advance major crypto legislation in the Senate directly harms the chances of the Clarity Act being enacted.

8/10
Senate Votes to Block Crypto Bill in Major Blow to the Industry - The New York Times

The Senate voting to block the crypto bill makes it extremely unlikely that the Clarity Act will be enacted into law in 2026.

9/10

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