US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace dea...
Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.
Polymarket Odds
On-chain priceCommunity Lobby
Rep-weightedWhat do you think?
Make your prediction — see how the crowd voted after
Anonymous • One vote per person
This market's extreme
News Impact
AI-analyzedChinese diplomatic pressure to stabilize the Strait of Hormuz aligns with US interests and could act as a secondary catalyst for regional de-escalation.
The commencement of formal ceasefire talks is a critical prerequisite for a permanent peace deal, providing a structured path for negotiations.
Direct optimism from a major political figure regarding a deal with Iran significantly boosts the perceived likelihood of a diplomatic breakthrough.
Related News
Share Your Insight
Set a username in the top nav to start sharing insights.
Community Insights
0 insights • Sorted by quality × reputationNo insights yet
Be the first to share your take on this market.