Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according t...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
By July 2026, Messi will be 39 years old, making it highly improbable for him to outscore younger, peak-condition strikers in a major tournament.
The overwhelming "No" odds (99%) on Messi being the top scorer, coupled with substantial 24-hour volume, suggest the market has priced in his advanced age and the rise of younger talent, making a "Yes" bet a highly speculative and likely unprofitable wager. For investors seeking value, the "No" side offers a near-certain return of 1% (less fees) if held to maturity, representing a low-risk arbitrage opportunity against the minuscule probability of Messi achieving this feat.
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