Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according t...

Vol 24h: $2.0M Total: $8.3M Liq: $1.5M Ends: 2026-07-20 Trade on Polymarket →
100%
Yes
0%
No
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Yes
0%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
99%
AI estimate

The 2026 FIFA World Cup concluded yesterday, July 18th, and the top goalscorer has already been determined and announced.

Edge: The market odds are extremely mispriced as the event has already concluded and the outcome is known, making 'No' virtually certain.

AI DISAGREES

This market presents a high-risk, low-reward scenario for investors, as the 98% "Yes" odds suggest a near-certain outcome already priced in, offering minimal upside potential. Consider taking a small "No" position if you believe there's any non-negligible chance of injury, a new generational talent emerging, or a decline in Mbappe's form, as even a slight shift in perceived probability could yield significant returns given the extreme skew.

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