Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market cre...

Vol 24h: $260.1K Total: $13.1M Liq: $325.4K Ends: 2027-01-01 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
22%
Yes
78%
No
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On-chain price
22%
Yes
78%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
85%
AI estimate

Ongoing regional geopolitical instability and maritime security threats make a full normalization of shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz unlikely within the next three months.

implies geopolitical tensions (e.

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Related News

● Why Restoring Normal Traffic Through Hormuz Won’t Be Easy - EnergyNow.com ● When Will Hormuz Reopen? Prediction Markets Put a Date on the Strait’s Return - Action Network ● Strait of Hormuz traffic may not return to normal for 12 months or more, according to prediction markets - CNBC ● The Strait of Hormuz is reopening, but global shipping won’t return to normal for months - The Conversation ● When will traffic in the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? - CBS News

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22% Yes 78% No
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