Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (F...

Vol 24h: $2.0M Total: $37.4M Liq: $898.0K Ends: 2026-09-16 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
22%
Yes
78%
No
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On-chain price
22%
Yes
78%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
76%
AI estimate

Economic cycles and Federal Reserve monetary policy typically involve active rate adjustments rather than holds during major forecast meetings, making a rate move more probable than a pause.

. Given the

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News Impact

AI-analyzed
U.S. inflation accelerated last month as gas prices spiked, squeezing Americans' finances - PBS

Accelerating inflation driven by energy spikes increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady rather than cutting them.

3/10
Fed Meets Next Week To Confront Rising Inflation Pressures - Investopedia

Rising inflation pressures make the Fed more likely to pause rate cuts and keep interest rates unchanged.

5/10
Stubborn inflation raises prospect of Fed rate hike - The Hill

Prospects of persistent inflation and potential interest rate hikes increase the likelihood of monetary policy adjustments rather than holding rates unchanged.

4/10

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22% Yes 78% No
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