US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace dea...
Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.
Polymarket Odds
On-chain priceCommunity Lobby
Rep-weightedWhat do you think?
Make your prediction — see how the crowd voted after
Anonymous • One vote per person
This market indicates a strong investor
News Impact
AI-analyzedThe resumption of a port blockade indicates a return to maximum pressure tactics, significantly undermining the likelihood of a permanent peace deal by the deadline.
Public exposure of fundamental weaknesses in existing agreements suggests that a durable, permanent peace deal is less stable and less likely to be finalized.
A return to a 'war' stance and aggressive rhetoric from the US leadership significantly decreases the likelihood of a permanent peace treaty within the timeframe.
Related News
Share Your Insight
Set a username in the top nav to start sharing insights.
Community Insights
0 insights • Sorted by quality × reputationNo insights yet
Be the first to share your take on this market.