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VoxOdds market brief: Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Odds: Yes 2% | No 98%
24h volume: $68.7K | Liquidity: $21.2K
Community: no predictions yet.
Market: https://voxodds.com/market/2686771
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Research alerts: https://voxodds.com/market/2686771
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https://voxodds.com/market/2686771
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherw...
2%
Yes
98%
No
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Polymarket Odds
On-chain price
2%
Yes
98%
No
Community Lobby
Rep-weighted
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AI
AI Analysis
Gemini
99%
AI estimate
With today being the resolution date and no active full airspace shutdown in place, the probability of an unprecedented total closure occurring before the end of the day is extremely remote.
(or 2% Yes
Related News
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Middle East Airspace – Current Operational Picture – International Ops 2026 - OpsGroup
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EU aviation agency tells operators to avoid Iran, Iraq and Lebanon airspaces until August 31 - Reuters
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Iran denies agreement to reopen Strait of Hormuz – IRGC media - Iran International
●
Middle East Flight Operations | Updates - SWISS Newsroom
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Iran war fallout forces Singapore Airlines-backed Air India to cancel 27% of international flights - cnbc.com
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2%
Yes
98%
No
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