Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner betw...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Donald Trump has consistently expressed admiration for Vladimir Putin and has shown no inclination to publicly insult him, a pattern unlikely to change given his past rhetoric and the market's current closing date.
This market presents a compelling long-shot opportunity for investors: the "Yes" side is significantly undervalued at 3%, given Trump's unpredictable nature and historical tendency to insult allies and adversaries alike, making a public insult to Putin by 2026 far more likely than the implied odds suggest. Investors should consider a small, speculative "Yes" position, as the potential payout if Trump's behavior deviates even slightly from the market's extreme "No" confidence offers an asymmetric risk/reward profile.
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