Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 17 12:00 PM ET to July 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed post...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Elon Musk's tweet volume is highly variable, and predicting a narrow range of 200-219 tweets exactly a week in advance with 98% certainty is extremely difficult given his past posting patterns.
Edge: The market's 98% 'Yes' probability for such a specific tweet range is unrealistically high, as his tweet volume fluctuates significantly, making a precise prediction with such certainty improbable.
This market is highly illiquid with extremely skewed odds, indicating a high probability of a "Yes" outcome but offering virtually no actionable upside for investors at current prices. Unless you possess specific, non-public information strongly suggesting Elon will tweet outside this range, the current 98% "Yes" price makes betting "No" an extremely high-risk, low-reward proposition, and betting "Yes" offers negligible profit potential.
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