S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, July 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most re...

Vol 24h: $181.2K Total: $181.2K Liq: $2.2K Ends: 2026-07-16 Trade on Polymarket →
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Since today is July 16, the market's direction for the day has already been determined and is reflected in the current odds.

This market indicates an extremely high probability (99%) of the S&P 500 being down on July 16th, suggesting significant negative sentiment or a widely anticipated event. For investors, buying "Up" at 1% offers a high-risk, high-reward opportunity if you believe the market is mispricing a potential bounce or a positive surprise.

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