Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 25 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This m...

Vol 24h: $799.1K Total: $799.2K Liq: $67.2K Ends: 2026-08-01 Trade on Polymarket →

94%

Houston Astros

Chicago White Sox

Market tracker

Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.

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On-chain price

94%

Houston Astros

Chicago White Sox

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted

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Needs confirmation price discovery playbook 57m ago

Price discovery

Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing

Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side

Side Research first Intraday to weekly YES 46% / NO 54% vol $690k liq $231k risk 24/100

Catalyst verifier needs confirmation

Usable depth: 690424 recent depth/volume.

Low integrity-risk score for the current quote.

Risk flag: close to close.

No linked catalyst in stored news impacts yet.

Skip if you cannot identify a concrete source, rule detail, or timing catalyst.

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AI Analysis Gemini

75%

AI estimate

While the Astros are a strong team, a 94% probability for any single MLB game is excessively high, suggesting potential overvaluation of their advantage or undervaluation of the White Sox's upset potential.

Edge: The market is overpricing the Astros; their true win probability is likely closer to 75% given the inherent variability in MLB games, even against a weaker opponent.

AI DISAGREES

The market is heavily skewed towards the Astros at 94%, indicating a strong consensus that they will win, making a bet on the Astros a low-reward, high-probability play. Conversely, the White Sox's 6% odds present a high-risk, high-reward opportunity for investors who believe the market is significantly underpricing their chances of an upset.

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94% Houston Astros 6% Chicago White Sox $799.1K vol 24h

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