Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Given today's date is July 26, 2026, the ceasefire has already continued through the specified date, making a 'No' outcome impossible.
The market's overwhelming 98% "Yes" odds for a ceasefire continuing through July 26th, coupled with significant daily volume, suggests strong investor confidence in de-escalation, making a "No" bet a high-risk, high-reward play only suitable for those with unique, compelling, and contrarian information. Conversely, investing in "Yes" offers minimal upside and primarily serves to hedge against a resumption of conflict, making it less attractive for pure speculative gain.
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