LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for July 30 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" ...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
While Ninjas in Pyjamas are favored, a 95% probability against Weibo Gaming, even with their recent struggles, seems excessively high for a best-of-three in the LPL where upsets can occur.
Edge: The market significantly overestimates NiP's chances, creating value on Weibo Gaming at 5% given the inherent volatility and potential for a single strong series from the underdog.
This market presents a **high-risk, high-reward arbitrage opportunity** if you believe Weibo Gaming has even a 10% chance of winning, as the 5% implied probability offers significant upside for a small allocation. However, given the substantial volume and extreme odds, caution is advised as the market likely reflects strong institutional or expert consensus on NiP's dominance, making a bet on Weibo a highly speculative "long-shot" play against informed opinion.
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