LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Dplus KIA in the KeSPA Cup Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 27 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Dplus KIA, despite recent struggles, has a history of performing better in high-stakes matches and against lower-ranked teams like HANJIN BRION, making their 28% market odds an undervaluation.
Edge: I believe Dplus KIA is significantly undervalued at 28%, and their true probability of winning is closer to 60%.
This market presents a **strong "sell" opportunity for HANJIN BRION and a "buy" for Dplus KIA**, as the 92% implied probability for HANJIN BRION is likely overvalued given the inherent variance in a single Best-of-1 LoL match, especially within a competitive tournament setting where upsets are common. Investors should consider **shorting HANJIN BRION or taking a long position on Dplus KIA**, as the 8% implied probability for Dplus KIA offers significant upside if they secure even a slightly higher probability of winning (e.g., 20-30%) than the market currently reflects, which is plausible even against a favored opponent in a BO1.
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