New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 2 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
While the Yankees are strong, 82% is a bit high for any single MLB game, especially against a competent Cubs team, suggesting a slight overestimation by the market.
Edge: I believe the market overvalues the Yankees by 7% (82% vs my 75%), indicating a slight edge on the Cubs at 18%.
The high volume and significant skew towards the Yankees (82%) suggests the market has largely priced in a strong Yankees victory, making further investment in the Yankees a bet on a very high probability event with limited upside. Consider a small, speculative long position on the Cubs if you believe there's a greater than 18% chance of an upset or if you anticipate any late-breaking news that could shift sentiment, as the potential return on a successful Cubs wager is substantial.
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