Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Denis Shapovalov in the Los Cabos Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron N...

Vol 24h: $821.0K Total: $821.0K Liq: $276.3K Ends: 2026-08-08 Trade on Polymarket →
12%
Cameron Norrie
88%
Denis Shapovalov
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Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.

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Polymarket Odds

On-chain price
12%
Cameron Norrie
88%
Denis Shapovalov

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AI
AI Analysis Gemini
75%
AI estimate

While Shapovalov has a higher upside, Norrie's consistency and recent form on hard courts make him a more competitive opponent than the market suggests, especially given Shapovalov's proneness to unforced errors.

Edge: I believe the market overestimates Shapovalov's probability by 13% and underestimates Norrie's by 13%.

AI DISAGREES

The market heavily favors Shapovalov at 88%, implying investors believe Norrie's 12% is significantly undervalued given his recent form and ability to grind out wins. Consider a small speculative position on Norrie, as the market might be overreacting to Shapovalov's perceived higher ceiling, creating a potential mispricing.

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12% Cameron Norrie 88% Denis Shapovalov
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