Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if...

Vol 24h: $1.2M Total: $1.2M Liq: $166.2K Ends: 2026-08-02 Trade on Polymarket →

40%

Spirit

60%

MOUZ

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Polymarket Odds

On-chain price

40%

Spirit

60%

MOUZ

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted

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Needs confirmation closing watch playbook 40m ago

Resolution watch

Closes in 0d; rules and source-of-truth matter more

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Side Rules first Hours to days YES 40% / NO 60% vol $1.2M liq $166k risk 33/100

Catalyst verifier needs confirmation

Usable depth: 1245603 recent depth/volume.

Low integrity-risk score for the current quote.

Risk flag: very close to close.

No linked catalyst in stored news impacts yet.

Skip if the final resolver is unclear or the market wording has hidden edge cases.

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AI Analysis Gemini

65%

AI estimate

MOUZ has consistently shown stronger form and map pool depth in recent tournaments compared to Spirit, making them the slight favorites in a Best-of-5.

The market is heavily favoring MOUZ at 60%, suggesting investors believe they have a significant edge in this Best-of-5 series against Spirit. Given the substantial 24-hour volume of over $1.2 million, this is a highly liquid market where an arbitrage opportunity might exist if your independent analysis shows Spirit's true win probability is significantly higher than 40%.

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40% Spirit 60% MOUZ $1.2M vol 24h

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