National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler

This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Kalinskaya and McCartney Kessler in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna...

Vol 24h: $535.2K Total: $535.2K Liq: $141.5K Ends: 2026-08-11 Trade on Polymarket →
46%
Anna Kalinskaya
55%
McCartney Kessler
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Polymarket Odds

On-chain price
46%
Anna Kalinskaya
55%
McCartney Kessler

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Needs confirmation price discovery playbook 24m ago

Price discovery

Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing

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Side Research first Intraday to weekly YES 46% / NO 55% vol $535k liq $142k risk 24/100
Catalyst verifier needs confirmation
Usable depth: 535179 recent depth/volume.
Low integrity-risk score for the current quote.
Risk flag: close to close.
No linked catalyst in stored news impacts yet.
Skip if you cannot identify a concrete source, rule detail, or timing catalyst.
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AI
AI Analysis Gemini
60%
AI estimate

McCartney Kessler has shown stronger recent form and a more consistent serve, which gives her a slight edge over Kalinskaya on hard courts.

The market currently prices Kessler as a slight favorite, suggesting a potential arbitrage opportunity if you believe Kalinskaya's true win probability is higher than 46% given her recent form and higher ranking, especially considering the substantial trading volume that might indicate informed money. Investors should consider taking a position on Kalinskaya if their independent analysis places her win probability above 50% to capitalize on the market's current undervaluation.

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46% Anna Kalinskaya 55% McCartney Kessler
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