National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Corentin Moutet in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael J...

Vol 24h: $798.4K Total: $855.7K Liq: $251.2K Ends: 2026-08-13 Trade on Polymarket →

56%

Rafael Jodar

44%

Corentin Moutet

Market tracker

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Polymarket Odds

On-chain price

56%

Rafael Jodar

44%

Corentin Moutet

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted

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Needs confirmation price discovery playbook 7m ago

Price discovery

Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing

Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side

Side Research first Intraday to weekly YES 56% / NO 44% vol $798k liq $251k risk 24/100

Catalyst verifier needs confirmation

Usable depth: 798449 recent depth/volume.

Low integrity-risk score for the current quote.

Risk flag: close to close.

No linked catalyst in stored news impacts yet.

Skip if you cannot identify a concrete source, rule detail, or timing catalyst.

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AI Analysis Gemini

65%

AI estimate

Moutet, despite being younger, has significantly more ATP Tour experience and a higher ranking, making him the more likely victor against the relatively unproven Jodar.

Edge: I believe the market is overestimating Jodar's chances; Moutet's experience and current form suggest he should be a stronger favorite.

AI DISAGREES

Given the high trading volume of nearly $800k in 24 hours, the market appears efficient, suggesting Jodar's 56% probability is a fair reflection of his chances. Investors seeking an edge should look for external information not yet priced in, such as recent injury news or a significant change in form, to justify a position against these odds.

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56% Rafael Jodar 44% Corentin Moutet $798.4K vol 24h

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