Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between 1win and BetBoom Team in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "...

Vol 24h: $790.2K Total: $790.2K Liq: $370.3K Ends: 2026-08-05 Trade on Polymarket →
100%
1win
0%
BetBoom Team
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On-chain price
100%
1win
0%
BetBoom Team

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 16m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 100% / NO 0% vol $697k liq $388k risk 82/100
Catalyst verifier avoid or wait
Usable depth: 697320 recent depth/volume.
High integrity risk; treat as avoid/wait.
Risk flag: near-resolution price.
Risk flag: very close to close.
Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.
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AI
AI Analysis Gemini
65%
AI estimate

While 1win is favored, a 90% probability for a single game in Dota 2 is excessively high, as upsets are always possible even for strong teams.

Edge: The market overestimates 1win's probability by 25 percentage points, creating value on BetBoom Team at 10%.

AI DISAGREES

The market heavily favors 1win with high confidence (90%), and the massive $520k volume suggests this is a well-informed consensus, making it a low-risk, low-reward bet for 1win, or a high-risk, high-reward bet for BetBoom Team if you believe the market is significantly mispricing a potential upset. Investors should consider if they have proprietary information or a compelling reason to deviate from this strong market consensus, as the low implied probability for BetBoom Team offers substantial upside if they win, but also indicates a very high chance of losing your stake.

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