S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, August 7, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most rec...
Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.
Polymarket Odds
On-chain priceCommunity Lobby
Rep-weightedWhat do you think?
Make your prediction — see how the crowd voted after
Anonymous • One vote per person
As today is August 7, the market has already closed, making it impossible to predict the outcome with certainty without knowing the actual closing price.
Edge: The market odds are nonsensical given that the event is occurring today, suggesting a significant mispricing or misunderstanding of the market's timing.
This market is highly illiquid and offers a poor risk-reward profile, as the 99% "Up" probability implies an almost certain loss for those betting "Down" with very little upside even if "Up" wins. Investors should avoid this market due to the extremely skewed odds and low volume, which make it difficult to enter or exit positions efficiently and suggest a lack of diverse opinions.
Share Your Insight
Set a username in the top nav to start sharing insights.
Community Insights
0 insights • Sorted by quality × reputationNo insights yet
Be the first to share your take on this market.