National Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Ben Shelton in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonsec...

Vol 24h: $1.3M Total: $1.3M Liq: $497.6K Ends: 2026-08-17 Trade on Polymarket →

Joao Fonseca

100%

Ben Shelton

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On-chain price

Joao Fonseca

100%

Ben Shelton

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 6m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 0% / NO 100% vol $1.3M liq $498k risk 73/100

Catalyst verifier avoid or wait

Usable depth: 1300171 recent depth/volume.

Medium integrity risk; size down or wait for confirmation.

Risk flag: near-resolution price.

Risk flag: close to close.

Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.

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AI Analysis Gemini

90%

AI estimate

Ben Shelton is a significantly higher-ranked and more experienced player on hard courts compared to Joao Fonseca.

This market indicates a strong belief in Ben Shelton's victory, with the high volume suggesting significant conviction behind the 86% probability. Investors looking for value would need to identify compelling reasons why Fonseca's actual win probability is significantly higher than 14% to justify a long position on him.

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0% Joao Fonseca 100% Ben Shelton $1.3M vol 24h

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