Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Spirit and Xtreme Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to ...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Team Spirit has consistently performed at a higher tier in recent tournaments compared to Xtreme Gaming, making them the favorites despite Xtreme's potential.
Edge: I believe the market overestimates Team Spirit's probability slightly, as Xtreme Gaming, while an underdog, still possesses the capability to take a game or even surprise in a best-of-three, suggesting their win probability is closer to 25%.
Given Team Spirit's dominant 83% odds and high trading volume, consider taking a small, speculative long position on Xtreme Gaming at 17% if you believe there's a greater than 1-in-6 chance of an upset, as this offers a significant payout if their true win probability is undervalued. Conversely, while Team Spirit is a strong favorite, the low return on an 83% bet means that any investment here only makes sense if you are absolutely certain of their victory and are comfortable with the limited upside for the risk taken.
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