Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 12 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees comb...

Vol 24h: $435.9K Total: $435.9K Liq: $446.6K Ends: 2026-08-12 Trade on Polymarket →
50%
Over
50%
Under
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50%
Over
50%
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Needs confirmation price discovery playbook 18m ago

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Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing

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Side Research first Intraday to weekly YES 50% / NO 50% vol $436k liq $447k risk 33/100
Catalyst verifier needs confirmation
Usable depth: 446585 recent depth/volume.
Low integrity-risk score for the current quote.
Risk flag: very close to close.
No linked catalyst in stored news impacts yet.
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AI Analysis Gemini
55%
AI estimate

August games often favor pitching due to warmer weather and settled bullpens, making an under slightly more probable.

Edge: I see a slight edge on the 'Under' at 50% due to typical August pitching dominance.

AI DISAGREES

This market presents a **fair coin flip on the total runs**, with the even odds reflecting the consensus that the game's scoring is equally likely to exceed or fall short of 8.5 runs. Given the substantial volume, investors should **avoid taking either side without independent, data-driven analysis of pitching matchups, park factors, and recent offensive trends** to identify any mispricing not already reflected in the balanced odds.

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