Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between LGD Gaming and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolv...

Vol 24h: $374.5K Total: $374.5K Liq: $613.2K Ends: 2026-08-14 Trade on Polymarket →
0%
LGD Gaming
100%
Nigma Galaxy
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Polymarket Odds

On-chain price
0%
LGD Gaming
100%
Nigma Galaxy

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 6m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 0% / NO 100% vol $374k liq $613k risk 82/100
Catalyst verifier avoid or wait
Usable depth: 613193 recent depth/volume.
High integrity risk; treat as avoid/wait.
Risk flag: near-resolution price.
Risk flag: very close to close.
Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.
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AI
AI Analysis Gemini
62%
AI estimate

Nigma Galaxy enters the matchup with higher consistency and mechanical synergy compared to LGD's more volatile current form.

With strong 24-hour liquidity of over $286K, the market heavily favors Nigma Galaxy at 64%, creating an attractive risk-reward value proposition on LGD Gaming at 36% given historically volatile group stage matchups between top-tier teams. Investors should consider buying LGD if their model gives the underdog at least a 40% win probability, or wait to sell Nigma if pre-match drafting trends push their implied odds beyond 70% for an optimal arbitrage exit.

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0% LGD Gaming 100% Nigma Galaxy
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