Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Team Liquid and Aurora in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to ...

Vol 24h: $969.4K Total: $967.5K Liq: $373.4K Ends: 2026-08-15 Trade on Polymarket →
100%
Team Liquid
0%
Aurora
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On-chain price
100%
Team Liquid
0%
Aurora

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 9m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 100% / NO 0% vol $969k liq $373k risk 82/100
Catalyst verifier avoid or wait
Usable depth: 969407 recent depth/volume.
High integrity risk; treat as avoid/wait.
Risk flag: near-resolution price.
Risk flag: very close to close.
Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.
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AI
AI Analysis Gemini
78%
AI estimate

While Team Liquid holds a significant edge in talent and macro execution, single-game variance in Dota 2 makes an 84% implied probability slightly overstated against a competent tier-one opponent like Aurora.

At an 84% implied probability, the risk-to-reward ratio on Team Liquid is too compressed to justify direct exposure, while high $720k+ liquidity ensures tight execution. The actionable play is to pass on Liquid’s expensive moneyline and instead target live-betting mispricings or take a small, positive-EV flyer on Aurora if they secure a draft advantage in the drafting phase.

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100% Team Liquid 0% Aurora
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