Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed ...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Elon Musk's historical posting frequency over a three-day span consistently averages between 20 to 30 posts per day, making the 65-89 range highly probable as the period concludes on August 19, 2026.
Given that the target dates are in August 2026—over a year away—the 85% probability for such a narrow posting range (65–89 tweets) drastically underprices Musk's extreme posting volatility and platform changes over time. **Actionable advice:** Buy "No" at 15% (or short "Yes") to capitalize on an overconfident market, as forecasting exact multi-day social media volume years in advance carries a much wider distribution than current odds reflect.
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