Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed ...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Targeting a narrow 25-tweet window across three full days is statistically unlikely given high variance in Elon Musk's posting frequency, making 'No' the overwhelmingly probable outcome.
With Elon Musk's long-term posting frequency subject to extreme variance and potential platform shifts over a two-year horizon, locking capital into this hyper-specific 90–114 tweet range carries an unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. Investors should avoid taking a position at the current 13% "Yes" / 87% "No" odds, as the 2026 resolution date creates excessive opportunity cost despite the solid 24-hour liquidity.
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