Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Iron Wing and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This m...

Vol 24h: $1.9M Total: $1.9M Liq: $686.6K Ends: 2026-08-20 Trade on Polymarket →
0%
Iron Wing
100%
Team Spirit
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On-chain price
0%
Iron Wing
100%
Team Spirit

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 4m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 0% / NO 100% vol $1.9M liq $687k risk 82/100
Catalyst verifier avoid or wait
Usable depth: 1880474 recent depth/volume.
High integrity risk; treat as avoid/wait.
Risk flag: near-resolution price.
Risk flag: very close to close.
Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.
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AI
AI Analysis Gemini
95%
AI estimate

Team Spirit is an elite tier-one roster that holds a massive skill and strategic advantage over a lower-tier team like Iron Wing in standard match play.

Team Spirit's 96% implied probability accurately reflects their massive tier-1 advantage, but the extreme pricing offers virtually zero return on capital relative to the low-frequency risk of a Dota 2 draft blunder or cheese strategy. Unless you are executing a high-risk, micro-sized contrarian hedge on Iron Wing at 4%, investors should avoid this market due to poor risk-adjusted yields despite the strong $1.43M liquidity.

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