US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?

This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” ...

Vol 24h: $167.8K Total: $673.2K Liq: $155.8K Ends: 2026-08-31 Trade on Polymarket →
90%
Yes
10%
No
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90%
Yes
10%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
94%
AI estimate

With only seven days remaining until the deadline, the strong diplomatic status quo makes a sudden collapse and formal resumption of US kinetic action against Iran within this brief window unlikely.

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