Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
With resolution occurring today and market pricing overwhelmingly indicating Bitcoin is trading below $82,000, the outcome is virtually certain.
With the "No" outcome at 99% ($0.99) and heavy 24-hour liquidity ($208k), capital is functionally locked in for a negligible 1% yield that does not justify the tail-risk or opportunity cost of capital before August 27. Unless you are holding an existing "No" position to close for near-guaranteed profit, retail investors should avoid this market entirely or only allocate a negligible amount to "Yes" as a pure ultra-low-cost, high-convexity lottery hedge.
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