Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Vitality and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will re...

Vol 24h: $696.9K Total: $696.9K Liq: $126.3K Ends: 2026-08-21 Trade on Polymarket →
71%
Vitality
29%
Spirit
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On-chain price
71%
Vitality
29%
Spirit

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AI Analysis Gemini
65%
AI estimate

While Vitality remains favored on their likely pick, Spirit's tier-one ceiling makes the market price slightly overconfident on a 71% single-map win rate.

Given the massive $697k liquidity and heavily skewed 70/30 pricing, the market is aggressively overvaluing Vitality's momentum, creating prime positive expected value (+EV) on Team Spirit. Investors should look to buy Spirit at 30% or better, as their Map 2 pick equity and pistol-round upside make this closer to a 55/45 matchup than the current wide spread implies.

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71% Vitality 29% Spirit
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