Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi...

Vol 24h: $139.7K Total: $180.3K Liq: $30.5K Ends: 2026-08-29 Trade on Polymarket →
44%
Yes
56%
No
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On-chain price
44%
Yes
56%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
58%
AI estimate

Given the target resolution date is today and prevailing price ranges reflect substantial resistance below this milestone, the market is slightly more favored to settle below $78,000.

With a solid 24-hour volume of $139,750, the market’s 44% "Yes" probability offers an attractive risk-reward entry for bullish investors looking to capture a 127% payout if Bitcoin’s current momentum pushes it past the $78,000 resistance by August 29. However, conservative investors should favor the 56% "No" side at 1.79x odds, as pricing in a high-probability consolidation below that level provides a safer short-term yield.

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44% Yes 56% No
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