Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi...

Vol 24h: $191.5K Total: $234.1K Liq: $23.7K Ends: 2026-09-04 Trade on Polymarket →
2%
Yes
98%
No
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On-chain price
2%
Yes
98%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
77%
AI estimate

With resolution occurring today, the market odds of 77% for 'No' strongly reflect the spot price of Bitcoin remaining below the $82,000 threshold.

With the market pricing just a 2% probability and supported by healthy liquidity ($191k 24h volume), Bitcoin is virtually certain to finish below $82,000 by September 4. Conservative investors can lock in a low-risk ~2% yield by buying "No" shares to hold through expiration, while avoiding the "Yes" side unless pursuing a high-risk lottery-ticket trade on extreme short-term volatility.

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2% Yes 98% No
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