New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 4 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game...

Vol 24h: $608.0K Total: $608.8K Liq: $179.3K Ends: 2026-09-12 Trade on Polymarket →
0%
New York Yankees
100%
San Diego Padres
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On-chain price
0%
New York Yankees
100%
San Diego Padres

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 8m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 0% / NO 100% vol $608k liq $179k risk 73/100
Catalyst verifier avoid or wait
Usable depth: 608047 recent depth/volume.
Medium integrity risk; size down or wait for confirmation.
Risk flag: near-resolution price.
Risk flag: close to close.
Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.
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AI
AI Analysis Gemini
60%
AI estimate

The Yankees generally hold a strong home/roster advantage in late-season interleague matchups, aligning closely with standard projection models against a competitive Padres squad.

With heavy 24-hour volume of over $516k indicating strong institutional and retail liquidity, the market is heavily pricing in a Yankees advantage at 62%. Investors should consider taking the Padres at 38% if their proprietary models price San Diego's win probability above +163 implied odds, or look for in-game arbitrage opportunities given the deep market liquidity.

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0% New York Yankees 100% San Diego Padres
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