Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main ...
Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.
Polymarket Odds
On-chain priceCommunity Lobby
Rep-weightedWhat do you think?
Make your prediction — see how the crowd voted after
Anonymous • One vote per person
A narrow target band of 140-159 tweets across a seven-day window represents a statistically low-probability outcome given Elon Musk's highly variable and often significantly higher posting volume.
With only a 3% implied probability and nearly two years until resolution, capital is far too constrained to justify locking up funds for a meager 3% return on the "No" side. Investors should avoid taking a position now, but monitor Musk's daily posting baseline closer to September 2026 to exploit mispriced probability ranges across related tweet-count brackets.
Related News
Share Your Insight
Set a username in the top nav to start sharing insights.
Community Insights
0 insights • Sorted by quality × reputationNo insights yet
Be the first to share your take on this market.