US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Peg...

Vol 24h: $564.6K Total: $564.8K Liq: $390.8K Ends: 2026-09-13 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
100%
Jessica Pegula
0%
Sorana Cirstea
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On-chain price
100%
Jessica Pegula
0%
Sorana Cirstea

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 12m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 100% / NO 0% vol $565k liq $391k risk 73/100
Catalyst verifier avoid or wait
Usable depth: 564610 recent depth/volume.
Medium integrity risk; size down or wait for confirmation.
Risk flag: near-resolution price.
Risk flag: close to close.
Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.
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AI Analysis Gemini
85%
AI estimate

Pegula is a heavily favored top-ranked hard-court player with superior consistency, though Cirstea possesses enough upset potential to make a 91% market price slightly too wide.

With strong $461k liquidity pricing Jessica Pegula at a prohibitive 91%, the risk-to-reward ratio on the favorite is poor, making outright Pegula positions capital-inefficient. Investors should either seek value on Sorana Cirstea as an asymmetric, low-risk upset flyer at 9% or wait for in-play volatility to secure a more favorable entry point on Pegula.

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100% Jessica Pegula 0% Sorana Cirstea
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