Spread: BAL (-8.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between NO and BAL, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "BAL" if the BAL win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market ...

Vol 24h: $845.7K Total: $1.0M Liq: $198.6K Ends: 2026-09-20 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
50%
BAL
50%
NO
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On-chain price
50%
BAL
50%
NO

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Needs confirmation price discovery playbook 39m ago

Price discovery

Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing

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Side Research first Intraday to weekly YES 50% / NO 50% vol $846k liq $198k risk 33/100
Catalyst verifier needs confirmation
Usable depth: 845730 recent depth/volume.
Low integrity-risk score for the current quote.
Risk flag: very close to close.
No linked catalyst in stored news impacts yet.
Skip if you cannot identify a concrete source, rule detail, or timing catalyst.
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AI Analysis Gemini
52%
AI estimate

Covering a large spread of 8.5 points in the NFL is historically difficult, giving a slight baseline edge to the underdog keeping the game within one possession.

Edge: A minor lean toward the underdog covering against an 8.5-point spread compared to the market's flat 50% baseline.

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