Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 18 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win...

Vol 24h: $507.6K Total: $507.8K Liq: $183.6K Ends: 2026-09-25 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
10%
Kansas City Royals
90%
Pittsburgh Pirates
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Polymarket Odds

On-chain price
10%
Kansas City Royals
90%
Pittsburgh Pirates

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AI Analysis Gemini
62%
AI estimate

Single Major League Baseball games rarely have extreme 90-10 true talent win probabilities due to high inherent variance, making a standard baseline favorite edge much more realistic.

The market is heavily skewed toward the Pirates at 90%, but the strong 24-hour volume of $507,609 indicates deep liquidity to exploit pricing inefficiencies. Investors should look to buy the Royals at 10% (10-to-1 payout) for positive expected value, as single-game baseball underdogs rarely warrant a true win probability that low.

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10% Kansas City Royals 90% Pittsburgh Pirates
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