Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu

This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Claire Liu in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' ...

Vol 24h: $625.6K Total: $627.3K Liq: $733.8K Ends: 2026-09-21 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
100%
Mary Stoiana
0%
Claire Liu
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On-chain price
100%
Mary Stoiana
0%
Claire Liu

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 10m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 100% / NO 0% vol $626k liq $734k risk 73/100
Catalyst verifier avoid or wait
Usable depth: 733762 recent depth/volume.
Medium integrity risk; size down or wait for confirmation.
Risk flag: near-resolution price.
Risk flag: close to close.
Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.
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AI
AI Analysis Gemini
55%
AI estimate

Claire Liu's extensive WTA Tour experience and higher baseline consistency give her a slight advantage over rising talent Mary Stoiana.

With high 24-hour liquidity of nearly $370k creating tight spreads, this near-even matchup offers an actionable edge on Claire Liu at 52% if you favor her superior professional-level experience over Mary Stoiana's collegiate momentum. Investors should look to back Liu for modest value on the outright line or actively trade intraday swing volatility given the nearly 50/50 implied probability split.

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100% Mary Stoiana 0% Claire Liu
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