Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi...

Vol 24h: $192.9K Total: $230.4K Liq: $25.3K Ends: 2026-09-21 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
19%
Yes
81%
No
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On-chain price
19%
Yes
81%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
85%
AI estimate

With today being the resolution date and the market heavily pricing in a 'No' outcome, Bitcoin is highly unlikely to trade above $86,000.

With the market pricing just an 11% probability of Bitcoin crossing $86,000 by September 21, the deep discount on "Yes" shares offers an asymmetric, high-reward lottery play if you anticipate a massive short-term catalyst or unexpected volatility squeeze. However, given the strong consensus (89% "No") and healthy $186k 24-hour liquidity, conservative investors should capture the steady yield by taking the "No" side, provided current spot prices remain substantially below the target strike.

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19% Yes 81% No
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