Bitcoin Up or Down on September 25?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 25 '26 1...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
With the market resolving today and currently trading at 98% Down, intraday price action has almost certainly confirmed a negative daily candle.
Given the market’s near-certain 98% pricing for "Down" paired with healthy $133k daily volume, buying "Down" offers negligible upside (a ~2% yield) against catastrophic asymmetric risk if a sudden spot spike occurs. Investors should look for extreme mispricing to take a cheap, lottery-style flyer on "Up" at 2 cents, or simply deploy capital elsewhere as current liquidity and skew offer poor risk-adjusted returns for either side.
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